Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.7%
Lyon
22.7%
Draw
14.7%
Le Havre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Lyon
vs
0.64
Le Havre
Markets
BTTS37.7%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
2-0
13.8%
1-1
10.1%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
7.6%
0-1
7.0%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
4-0
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
0-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).