Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Clermont
23.7%
Draw
27.6%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Clermont
vs
1.07
Caen
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
9.0%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).