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03 Aug 2024 · 18:30

Sion

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.5%
Luzern
27.8%
Draw
28.7%
Sion

Expected Goals (xG)

1.68

Luzern

vs
1.34

Sion

Markets

BTTS61.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
0-0
6.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
0-1
4.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).