Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →88.8%
Bayern Munich
8.0%
Draw
3.2%
Augsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
3.56
Bayern Munich
vs
0.66
Augsburg
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.592.5%
Over 2.579.1%
Over 3.560.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.1%
4-0
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
5-0
7.0%
4-1
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
1-0
5.0%
5-1
4.6%
1-1
3.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).