Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
Queens Park Rangers
28.0%
Draw
35.4%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Queens Park Rangers
vs
1.33
Watford
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
0-1
8.1%
0-0
7.9%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).