Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.9%
Hoffenheim
20.8%
Draw
18.2%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
Hoffenheim
vs
1.18
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.566.6%
Over 3.544.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
1-0
6.7%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-1
4.1%
0-0
3.9%
4-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).