Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.9%
Padova
32.6%
Draw
26.6%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Padova
vs
0.89
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
14.1%
1-0
13.6%
0-1
10.1%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).