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15 Feb 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.3%
Leyton Orient
21.6%
Draw
51.0%
Lincoln

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Leyton Orient

vs
1.76

Lincoln

Markets

BTTS57.3%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.0%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
5.6%
0-3
4.6%
0-0
4.2%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).