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DHT: 11

25 Jan 2025 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.7%
Charleroi
25.1%
Draw
28.2%
Cercle Brugge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.65

Charleroi

vs
1.24

Cercle Brugge

Markets

BTTS57.8%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
6.5%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).