Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.5%
Barrow
33.5%
Draw
27.0%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Barrow
vs
0.84
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.558.4%
Over 2.530.3%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.7%
1-0
14.6%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
5.2%
3-0
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).