Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.4%
Villarreal B
24.6%
Draw
25.0%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Villarreal B
vs
1.06
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
7.4%
0-0
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).