Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Valladolid
27.3%
Draw
36.7%
Albacete
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Valladolid
vs
1.22
Albacete
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
0-1
10.9%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).