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AHT: 01CSV

06 Dec 2025 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.0%
AVS
24.4%
Draw
44.6%
Rio Ave

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

AVS

vs
1.50

Rio Ave

Markets

BTTS54.0%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.6%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).