Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Swindon
23.4%
Draw
39.6%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Swindon
vs
1.52
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS59.3%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-2
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
1-0
8.0%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
5.9%
2-0
5.4%
0-0
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).