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19 Mar 2026 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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82.6%
Kharkiv
13.4%
Draw
4.0%
Poltava

Expected Goals (xG)

2.43

Kharkiv

vs
0.38

Poltava

Markets

BTTS29.0%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
17.8%
1-0
14.5%
3-0
14.4%
4-0
8.7%
2-1
6.8%
0-0
6.2%
1-1
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
5-0
4.2%
4-1
3.3%
0-1
2.1%
5-1
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).