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02 Apr 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.9%
Forest Green
22.3%
Draw
16.7%
Scunthorpe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.74

Forest Green

vs
0.77

Scunthorpe

Markets

BTTS43.8%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.6%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
7.1%
0-1
6.7%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
3.1%
0-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).