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AHT: 04

14 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Bury

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.2%
AFC Stoneham
23.2%
Draw
52.5%
Bury

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

AFC Stoneham

vs
1.71

Bury

Markets

BTTS53.6%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.0%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
0-3
5.1%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).