Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.1%
Cittadella
31.1%
Draw
33.8%
Mantova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Cittadella
vs
1.13
Mantova
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).