Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Venezia
27.4%
Draw
43.8%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Venezia
vs
1.31
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.2%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.5%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).