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01 Jan 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.2%
Queens Park Rangers
26.2%
Draw
43.6%
Norwich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Queens Park Rangers

vs
1.62

Norwich

Markets

BTTS59.6%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
0-0
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).