Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.3%
Oviedo
25.6%
Draw
12.1%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Oviedo
vs
0.49
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS30.1%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.559.0%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.6%
2-0
15.3%
0-0
13.6%
1-1
10.0%
3-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
0-1
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-0
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-2
1.9%
0-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).