Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.6%
Lincoln
15.7%
Draw
9.6%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38
Lincoln
vs
0.72
Northampton
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
1-0
11.0%
3-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
7.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
4.3%
0-0
4.3%
0-1
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
5-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).