Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.1%
Kilmarnock
24.3%
Draw
57.6%
Hearts
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Kilmarnock
vs
1.80
Hearts
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
11.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).