Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.2%
Burnley
21.5%
Draw
6.3%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Burnley
vs
0.38
Norwich
Markets
BTTS26.8%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.7%
2-0
18.4%
0-0
11.8%
3-0
11.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-1
6.9%
4-0
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-0
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).