Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.4%
Lille
15.5%
Draw
12.1%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
Lille
vs
0.91
Metz
Markets
BTTS54.3%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.7%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.1%
4-0
5.4%
4-1
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-2
3.5%
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).