Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.4%
AFC Wimbledon
24.6%
Draw
16.1%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.65
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
10.8%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
2.6%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).