Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.1%
Union Berlin
23.9%
Draw
13.0%
Genk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Union Berlin
vs
0.64
Genk
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
2-0
14.0%
1-1
10.8%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.0%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-0
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).