Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.4%
Albacete
26.0%
Draw
13.6%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Albacete
vs
0.54
Lugo
Markets
BTTS32.1%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.8%
2-0
14.5%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
4-0
2.6%
2-2
2.1%
0-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).