Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.5%
Stuttgart
28.2%
Draw
27.3%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Stuttgart
vs
1.12
Dresden
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).