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04 Nov 2023 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.1%
Fenerbahce
22.4%
Draw
23.4%
Trabzonspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.45

Fenerbahce

vs
1.63

Trabzonspor

Markets

BTTS75.2%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.593.1%
Over 2.577.4%
Over 3.558.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-2
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
4-1
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
2-3
3.7%
0-0
3.4%
4-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).