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26 Dec 2022 · 18:05

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.7%
Le Havre
30.0%
Draw
24.3%
Bordeaux

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Le Havre

vs
0.70

Bordeaux

Markets

BTTS32.4%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.552.4%
Over 2.526.7%
Over 3.510.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
19.3%
0-0
15.7%
0-1
12.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).