Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.7%
Leganes
31.0%
Draw
17.3%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Leganes
vs
0.55
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS29.0%
Over 0.582.3%
Over 1.551.3%
Over 2.524.9%
Over 3.59.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
21.1%
0-0
17.7%
2-0
12.4%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-0
4.9%
1-2
3.1%
0-2
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
2-2
1.8%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).