Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.5%
Sampdoria
31.9%
Draw
28.6%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Sampdoria
vs
0.97
Spezia
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.9%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
9.9%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).