Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.1%
Dunfermline
12.1%
Draw
2.9%
Kelty Hearts
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55
Dunfermline
vs
0.33
Kelty Hearts
Markets
BTTS26.0%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
18.3%
3-0
15.5%
1-0
14.1%
4-0
9.9%
2-1
6.0%
0-0
6.0%
3-1
5.1%
5-0
5.0%
1-1
5.0%
4-1
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
0-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).