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07 Mar 2023 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.2%
Reading
26.5%
Draw
52.3%
Sheffield United

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Reading

vs
1.64

Sheffield United

Markets

BTTS51.0%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).