Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.9%
Parma
23.0%
Draw
13.1%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Parma
vs
0.77
Ternana
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.5%
1-0
11.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.1%
0-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
4.2%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).