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02 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.3%
Crawley Town
27.4%
Draw
28.3%
Bridlington Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Crawley Town

vs
0.97

Bridlington Town

Markets

BTTS44.6%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.9%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
10.0%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).