Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.9%
Magdeburg
20.6%
Draw
14.5%
Ingolstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
Magdeburg
vs
0.99
Ingolstadt
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
1-0
8.0%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
2-2
4.9%
0-0
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
4-1
4.1%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).