Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.5%
Preston
22.8%
Draw
60.7%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Preston
vs
1.99
Fulham
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
6.1%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
4.7%
1-0
4.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).