Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.5%
Bristol Rvs
26.0%
Draw
47.5%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Bristol Rvs
vs
1.40
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
9.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).