Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.5%
York
13.4%
Draw
7.1%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.95
York
vs
0.84
Sutton
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.572.9%
Over 3.552.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.9%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-0
7.1%
1-0
6.2%
1-1
6.1%
4-1
6.0%
5-0
4.2%
5-1
3.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).