Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Oviedo
31.7%
Draw
39.6%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Oviedo
vs
1.08
Valencia
Markets
BTTS38.6%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.1%
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.7%
1-0
12.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).