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DHT: 01

21 Feb 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.9%
Piast Gliwice
24.8%
Draw
20.2%
Stal Mielec

Expected Goals (xG)

1.81

Piast Gliwice

vs
1.02

Stal Mielec

Markets

BTTS54.5%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.0%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
0-1
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).