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23 Mar 2021 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.0%
Stranraer
25.8%
Draw
11.1%
Brechin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.79

Stranraer

vs
0.65

Brechin

Markets

BTTS41.7%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.0%
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
3.8%
4-0
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).