Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.6%
Paris SG
20.7%
Draw
20.7%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Paris SG
vs
1.11
Lorient
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
0-1
5.1%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).