Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.2%
St Johnstone
26.4%
Draw
31.4%
Kilmarnock
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
St Johnstone
vs
1.27
Kilmarnock
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).