Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.8%
Fulham
17.2%
Draw
7.0%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.44
Fulham
vs
0.65
Southampton
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.5%
3-0
11.0%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
6.7%
0-0
5.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-0
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).