⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 01CSV

26 Dec 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
37.5%
Dorking
25.2%
Draw
37.3%
Eastleigh

Expected Goals (xG)

1.60

Dorking

vs
1.60

Eastleigh

Markets

BTTS64.6%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
2-0
5.2%
0-2
5.2%
0-0
5.0%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).