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AHT: 01CSV

02 Jan 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.4%
Arbroath
23.7%
Draw
64.0%
Dundee United

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Arbroath

vs
1.98

Dundee United

Markets

BTTS48.3%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.530.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.4%
1-1
11.3%
0-1
11.0%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
8.2%
0-0
7.9%
1-3
6.4%
0-4
4.0%
2-1
3.8%
2-2
3.8%
1-0
3.4%
1-4
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).