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HHT: 10CSV

10 Dec 2023 · 15:15

Modena

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.4%
Como
30.3%
Draw
24.3%
Modena

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Como

vs
0.92

Modena

Markets

BTTS45.8%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).